Personally I never get why people compare speed trap's between teams. They're fairly misleading tbh
If McLaren are the fastest in a straight line, surely they'll just put on enough downforce to match Red Bull in the middle sector. Whilst Red Bull could be running less wing so they're not eaten alive down the straights. Everyone could simply be running what they think is optimum, skewing our picture of how fast each car is.
Still I'm betting on a ferrari 1-2 this weekend. McLaren will be fast, but I'm wondering how happy their car will be jumping across the kerbs this time around, considering it's a pretty stiff car. Ferrari are probably the top team in terms of getting traction outta the corners, which key at Monza. Not sure exactly what tyre's are being run this weekend. Probably super soft and medium, which again will play to Ferrari, since as the trend goes, Ferrari aren't as happy on the harder tyre's.
I think 'wishful thinking' describes your bet. I'd save my money or put it on a car which likes long, fast straights. RBR and Ferrari have backtracked on their flexi-wings to pass the pre-Spa test and may have to make further retrograde steps to get through the stiffer (pun intended) tests at Monza. McLaren and Renault with their effective F-ducts will be at the front and Red Bull are just fast in any trim.
I also hope that for your sake that 'this weekend' was a slip of the pen or you're definitely on a losing bet!
Don't think the Spa test made thagt big of a difference in the front wings. Much more possibly RB and Ferrari ran a lower downforce configuration, which meant perhaps not such a wacky front wing or a stiffer floor; also the track was considerably smoother than Hungary so the wings would have looked stiffer as the cars werent as bouncy... the test for Monza, however, would/should backtrack or at least bind them a bit. We'll see.....
As for Ferrari being the best at Monza... hmmm no idea.
I'm thinking their engine issue is prob more important. If they are able to run a new engine for Monza then they can be very strong. If they have to be conservative, then maybe the merc engines will have the edge. As seen in Canada, both Mclaren and Ferrari were real strong; with Mclaren having the signifficant advantage in Canada's straight because of the Fduct... but if they dont run it here and Ferrari has good suspension, maybe its not so clear cut.
Simple thinking, Ferrari should be very strong. But the engine issue has got to be taken into acct.
Hopefully its not another Spa whipping !
Came out fighting indeed.
