5 - 1 are crap odds for Hamilton to get a podium i think, you'd basically be hoping for things to go very wrong for the 4/5 teams in front of McLaren! If it rains, a podium could be a bit more likely, but even then 5-1 wouldn't seem too appealing.
You really think that if they were to re-run the race 5 times he wouldn't get on the podium?
Yes, that is exactly what I think. I think they could run it 10 times and he is unlikely to see the podium. That is not a dig on his driving, it is saying that the Mclaren is not up to pace...which is not an opinion, it is a fact based on the previous races. Can Hamilton win in Monaco, sure he can..he has before...BUT the question is can he do so in the car he currently is driving? Not a chance in hell.
McLaren's real boost this year has been KERS. It is helping them a lot, and from all I've read....it will not help them in Monaco much. So, it comes down to pure pace...which the McLaren does not have. The fact is, setting a car up for pure mechanical grip as is needed on a slow course is as much a result of the driver's ability to tell the team what mechanically is needed as it is the skill of the mechanics. Lewis has never been known as a technical master when it comes to this sort of thing. Alonso.. certainly. Michael Schuey..yup. But Lewis.. no. So McLaren has a slow car, with a KERS boost that helps them alot....but the Kers is going to be useless and their driver isn't a technical guy. What in the world would make you think that Lewis is going to pull a podium out in Monaco when the rest of the season the McLaren has been nowhere? I don't see it happening. If I end up wrong, I will say as much...but I think putting 5-1 against is a safe bet.