FORUMula1.com - F1 Forum

[killem2]

Here's a crazy idea for a first post:
viewforum.php?f=14

What a crap way to welcome a new member.

You're presupposing I should welcome him

Then why tell him to post in the hello forum, if not to have him welcomed?

Anyway, welcome to the forums man, get your hard hat on, make sure you bullet proof vest is tightened, because you are going to need it.

[racechick]

But we'd really welcome your analytical contributions. And we are nice...really! So please stay!

[zpetrov]

Alright then, here are the rankings of the most consistent drivers by points scored after Germany!

1. Fernando Alonso - no surprises here, the most consistent driver by a long way
2. Kimi Raikkonen - continues to pick up points right where he has been all season, although some Monte Carlo simulations I ran based on past performances show his chances at the title are at about 0%
3. Mark Webber
4. Seb Vettel - a penalty would obviously knock him down
5. Lewis Hamilton - despite recent issues, over the course of the season so far he has still been fairly consistent
6. Romain Grosjean
7. Paul di Resta- didn't pick up points but he remains a model of consistency for the lower teams
8. Kamui Kobayashi
9. Nico Rosberg
10. Sergio Perez
11. Jenson Button - despite podium has been less consistent than the likes of di Resta and Kobayashi even
12. Bruno Senna - people don't seem to love him but he has been more consistent than his teammate and could overtake him in the standings if the trend continues (the tortoise beats the hare with consistency!)
13. Michael Schumaher
14. Felippe Massa
15. Nico Hulkenberg
16. Pastor Maldonado - disaster... keeps sliding down the consistency rankings as he and his crew just can't seem to get anything right in the races either due to his own lack of concentration, strategy or mechanical factors

The rankings really merit discussion about three drivers: Raikkonen, Senna, and Maldonado.

Raikkonen, first of all, deserves lots of credit for what he has done. He hasn't set the world on fire but he keeps collecting all the points that the Lotus seems capable of collecting and that has propelled him far above Grosjean, who is down in the rankings in part due to car failures. Unfortunately, while consistency counts it isn't enough- Monte Carlo simulations show that at this rate Kimi has no chance of winning the title regardless of how consistently he drives.

Then Senna v. Maldonado. Maldonado is sinking like a rock thanks to race incidents, bad strategy, and other factors. Things just aren't right. After the mess at Silverstone he and his team once again failed to capitalize on a great performance in qualifying. Senna, on the other hand, has scored points in 5 races and, at this rate, is more likely to finish ahead of Maldonado than Maldonado is to finish ahead of Senna by season's end according to simulated race outcomes.

If he doesn't want his star to completely burn out and see his maligned teammate finish ahead of him despite recording a race win, Maldonado desperately needs to find some consistency.

[zurich_allan]

zpetrov - thanks for this. It is really interesting reading, and good to see some proper analysis. There have been another couple of threads posted by another member here under the false pretence of being statistical analysis, when it's actually just poor quality, non-research, dressed up to look impressive. This is clearly proper research taking into account the proper factors.

Fascinating - please keep updating!

[racechick]

Yes thanks for this. Really interesting. Good to see Lewis is well up there despite all his woes. And you're right, no surprise that Alonso is at the top.

[myownalias]

Liking the stats, but Jenson has been consistent; OK consistently out of the points for the most part; but it shows consistency... and I say this as JB fan, hopefully he can now take the ball and run with it to drag himself up the points scoring consistency table.

[LewEngBridewell]

Interesting points, especially with regard to the Williams drivers. People are starting to pick up on Bruno Senna, but I hope the second half of his seasons is more representative of his form in the first few races, when he landed some decent results.

[racechick]

Oh I REALLY want Bruno to sort things out. PLEASE Bruno, sort things out!!