Reasons I believe Ferrari might move to LMP1:-
1) LMP1 it is more akin to the environment Ferrari wants to race in. No caps or limits and none being talked about. More open in terms of pure technology development capabilities.
pure technoloy development capability has not been a priority for Ferrari traditionally, whats changed now? they didnt want smaller displacement engines, want turbos, didnt want sims, didnt want hybrid/electric cars. They will be first to admit that they are not first to embrace new tech. Porsche and Audi have been doing new tech for fun for ever
2) The new ACO regulations suit Ferrari
Then why are they not already starting in 2014?
3) it has a great presence in Europe but also the US and Asia
Fair enough, Ferrari is already one of the top global brands, thats not an area they need to throw big money at, if anything a lack of achievement could work against them
4) Corse Cliente have had great success in the GT classes
They have, but the GT classes are not prototypes, worlds apart in terms of management and competition. Also the CC managing F1 would take away from the gheritage of the Ferrari F1 operation. Enzo started selling cars to pay for racing, he would not be too happy about the customer side running F1
5) F1 is being driven towards production car manufacturers - Ferrari isn't one of those
Good point, but we are back to the sense in competing in 2 top series at the same time, possibly struggling in both. Maybe LMP1 is better for companies like McLaren and ferrari, leave F1 to the Mercs and Renaults. Cant see Ferrari leaving F1 though.
6) F1 is becoming very restrictive and prescriptive - its getting harder and harder to differentiate teams and cars
Very true
7) In a prescriptive competition Ferrari cars are raced by CC, and with an effective budget cap, Ferrari could easily leave F1 to CC
See above about Ferrari F1 heritage
8.) Ferrari would not fear the task ahead of them in LMP1. The team is used to working through tough times to become a winning unit. Any move into LMP1 would have a 5 year plan laid out from day 1
Fair enough, but it would mean not winning in 2 expensive series simultaneously, resources will have to be stretched and diluted